TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc291…5d74backed Under49c1,222$595 inLost-$595.442,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under51c612.36$311 inLost-$310.6997346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over63c515.04$327 inWon+$188.043754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over48c470.4$225 inWon+$245.44290.5%38 W · 4 L+10.6wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3b96…4a58backed Over8c444.99$36 inWon+$409.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.92per pick9cpaid+1,080.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over66c347.88$230 inWon+$118.2711674.1%86 W · 30 L+18.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+34.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under46c300$138 inLost-$13815544.5%69 W · 86 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Under48c240.42$115 inLost-$114.963447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Over46c216.68$101 inWon+$116.154852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over60c210$127 inWon+$83.278344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5323…326abacked Over53c189.99$101 inWon+$89.29944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon+$61.2917447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48fb…ced4backed Under14c131.04$18 inLost-$18.41230%0 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over53c94.33$50 inWon+$44.349152.7%48 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd36…6674backed Over60c83.33$50 inWon+$33.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c71.8$37 inWon+$34.412,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over55c44.45$24 inWon+$206552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under57c35.09$20 inLost-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Under54c27.58$15 inLost-$14.8329654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under58c17.33$10 inLost-$10.051361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.