Europa Conference League · resolved market
Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae96183f04059da615e8155d2959a4f5fd136867a4bb6bae739679757b0fca97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe13e…4ad1backed No | 56c | 678.94$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 67c | 581.94$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 42 | 90.5%38 W · 4 L | +10.6wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 48c | 481.59$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.79 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 43c | 423.97$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.49 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed No | 39c | 422.53$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.54 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 403.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.61 | 1,117 | 35.8%400 W · 717 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 65c | 291.5$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 47c | 274.71$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 70c | 246.54$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +198.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 52c | 232.52$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 56c | 179.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 47c | 166.7$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 44c | 134$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 376 | 46.5%175 W · 201 L | +26.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed No | 14c | 121.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 152 | 24.3%37 W · 115 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 52c | 112.95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 503 | 54.7%275 W · 228 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed No | 13c | 107.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 58c | 103.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 91.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…7b1abacked Yes | 54c | 87.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 81.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked No | 54c | 79.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 78c | 77.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 59c | 58.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 57.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…b29abacked No | 54c | 55.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 53c | 33.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 75c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +46%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 51c | 31.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 67c | 28.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…a72dbacked Yes | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: FK Dynama-Minsk 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: FK Dynama-Minsk O/U 1.5Over won
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: FK Dynama-Minsk O/U 2.5Over won
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 0.5Over won
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 1.5Over won
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 2.5Over won
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 3.5Over won
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 4.5Over won
- Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: FK Dynama-Minsk (-1.5)FK Dynama-Minsk won
- Spread: FK Dynama-Minsk (-2.5)Neftçi PFK won
- Spread: Neftçi PFK (-2.5)FK Dynama-Minsk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.