TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof Eintracht Spandau, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,447 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9671…3a70backed Eintracht Spandau3c9,999$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.412844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Eintracht Spandau43c8,127$3,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,484.1469756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4090…3e81backed BIG78c6,379$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.172850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed BIG60c5,847$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.2124065%156 W · 84 L+24.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eintracht Spandau55c5,228$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.259952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Eintracht Spandau48c3,804$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.4211035.5%39 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed BIG62c3,573$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.861,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Eintracht Spandau21c2,996$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.837245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BIG76c2,603$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.452,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Eintracht Spandau56c2,207$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.242,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Eintracht Spandau31c2,123$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.111,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eintracht Spandau37c2,041$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.252,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed Eintracht Spandau9c1,466$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5829527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked BIG67c949.75$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.5226448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Eintracht Spandau35c894.28$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.2839246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed BIG79c863.15$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.1650646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Eintracht Spandau47c844.32$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.7250549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Eintracht Spandau33c807.69$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.839447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Eintracht Spandau27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21649549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed BIG39c686.35$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9850145.7%229 W · 272 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed BIG63c640$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.882554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked BIG40c627$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.22,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Eintracht Spandau39c620.78$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2675342.5%320 W · 433 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BIG41c620.27$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.71,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Eintracht Spandau29c583.04$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Eintracht Spandau34c572.47$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.641040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x755d…37e7backed BIG80c555.98$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9815166.2%100 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed BIG47c509$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.9771249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Eintracht Spandau47c463$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.611040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-31.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Eintracht Spandau32c444.93$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.844843.8%196 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eintracht Spandau38c439.53$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.071,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Eintracht Spandau31c437.64$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1241347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked BIG63c421.14$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3940237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed BIG80c420$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7922867.5%154 W · 74 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed BIG36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.6743642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed BIG64c399.98$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.991,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7269…a3edbacked Eintracht Spandau5c390.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa143…586cbacked Eintracht Spandau32c356.03$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11426937.5%101 W · 168 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Eintracht Spandau33c354.75$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.052,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed BIG75c332.04$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0415062%93 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed BIG31c310$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.31,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Eintracht Spandau20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed BIG66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10257151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Eintracht Spandau20c292.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.421,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Eintracht Spandau36c272.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1312927.9%36 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ce…7824backed Eintracht Spandau23c265.76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.991526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked BIG59c264.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.356341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed BIG66c262.12$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1886758.1%504 W · 363 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f5f…d393backed Eintracht Spandau48c241.68$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1176035%21 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked BIG67c217.97$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2459241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec6…9404backed Eintracht Spandau38c212.07$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.592227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked BIG50c208$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10437633.5%126 W · 250 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Eintracht Spandau35c206.49$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2795847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Eintracht Spandau12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Eintracht Spandau37c199.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Eintracht Spandau41c197.85$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.651,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked BIG62c194.2$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.217057.1%97 W · 73 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Eintracht Spandau41c191.7$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.731,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed BIG79c191$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6374462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0a…f249backed Eintracht Spandau26c188.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-71.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed BIG66c186.65$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8570057.3%401 W · 299 L+36.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6312…8bf0backed BIG56c179.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.327657.9%44 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Eintracht Spandau26c174.27$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5813239.4%52 W · 80 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd89c…2d1fbacked BIG58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4118159.1%107 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked BIG80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fde…9ab1backed BIG68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.061844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Eintracht Spandau34c141.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.091,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Eintracht Spandau15c120$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.971,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ef…77e7backed Eintracht Spandau43c115.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed BIG50c113.88$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.691,27057%724 W · 546 L+45.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Eintracht Spandau35c113.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4064451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Eintracht Spandau50c111.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.999938.4%38 W · 61 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9740…2eeebacked Eintracht Spandau27c111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked BIG68c110.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5948042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2091…b4f8backed BIG60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,17547.4%557 W · 618 L+42.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed BIG65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2844129.5%130 W · 311 L-45.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Eintracht Spandau31c97.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.362850%14 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed BIG57c95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8957222.7%130 W · 442 L-48.9wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-35.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc51f…e115backed Eintracht Spandau59c90.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1811665.5%76 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Eintracht Spandau34c89.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.181,64344.4%730 W · 913 L-42.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked BIG63c85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb003…d962backed BIG65c84.62$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6279151.8%410 W · 381 L+15.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG63c84.08$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.872,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd8b…d51abacked Eintracht Spandau36c83.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77fe…fffebacked Eintracht Spandau24c81.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49b…8973backed Eintracht Spandau14c76.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.761931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc78a…ea34backed BIG65c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7544062.7%276 W · 164 L-1.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked Eintracht Spandau63c63.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4715952.2%83 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x053e…1e27backed Eintracht Spandau30c61.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Eintracht Spandau18c60.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9924356%136 W · 107 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eintracht Spandau36c60.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.672,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed BIG35c58.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9518041.7%75 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed BIG68c56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9214561.4%89 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed BIG63c55.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.871,25154.1%677 W · 574 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Eintracht Spandau46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.843860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Eintracht Spandau29c53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.212,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Eintracht Spandau32c52.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.761330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Eintracht Spandau40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Eintracht Spandau50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2599747.1%470 W · 527 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df0…9a65backed Eintracht Spandau20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.