TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: GIANTX iTero vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Team Heretics Academyof GIANTX iTero, Team Heretics Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,959 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked GIANTX iTero13c8,888$1,155 inLost-$1,155.4496048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae0…8661backed GIANTX iTero11c1,364$150 inLost-$15035943.5%156 W · 203 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed GIANTX iTero17c1,299$221 inLost-$220.811,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked GIANTX iTero9c1,111$100 inLost-$10029940.1%120 W · 179 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GIANTX iTero10c838.71$84 inLost-$83.872,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed GIANTX iTero16c731.81$116 inLost-$11622544%99 W · 126 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked GIANTX iTero19c649$120 inLost-$120.2638931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed GIANTX iTero8c628.93$50 inLost-$50.3133237.7%125 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked GIANTX iTero16c488.68$76 inLost-$76.2824535.9%88 W · 157 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed GIANTX iTero14c472$66 inLost-$66.0820644.7%92 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed GIANTX iTero5c400$20 inLost-$2055110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked GIANTX iTero16c359.38$58 inLost-$57.590537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked GIANTX iTero17c332$57 inLost-$57.485742.7%366 W · 491 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed GIANTX iTero7c299.99$21 inLost-$20.818831.4%59 W · 129 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed GIANTX iTero11c294.81$31 inLost-$31.238439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked GIANTX iTero8c260.52$22 inLost-$21.7682044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df3…9ac3backed GIANTX iTero17c257.21$43 inLost-$42.7742055%231 W · 189 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked GIANTX iTero12c243.56$29 inLost-$28.641,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed GIANTX iTero13c242.89$31 inLost-$30.8535443.2%153 W · 201 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed GIANTX iTero19c220$42 inLost-$41.812935.7%46 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed GIANTX iTero16c200$32 inLost-$3228638.1%109 W · 177 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe197…71ebbacked GIANTX iTero15c186.33$28 inLost-$27.9527745.8%127 W · 150 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed GIANTX iTero12c183.33$22 inLost-$2248763.2%308 W · 179 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed GIANTX iTero11c178.7$20 inLost-$19.662,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked GIANTX iTero16c169.48$28 inLost-$27.8524832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked GIANTX iTero13c168.73$21 inLost-$21.441,92242.2%811 W · 1,111 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed GIANTX iTero8c158$13 inLost-$12.6452945.9%243 W · 286 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed GIANTX iTero16c157.81$25 inLost-$2577746.2%359 W · 418 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed GIANTX iTero16c135.44$21 inLost-$21.342,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked GIANTX iTero8c132.35$11 inLost-$10.5967115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed GIANTX iTero10c100$10 inLost-$1036452.7%192 W · 172 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed GIANTX iTero17c76.35$13 inLost-$12.9853829.4%158 W · 380 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed GIANTX iTero16c75.22$12 inLost-$11.961,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23a9…64f3backed GIANTX iTero20c50$10 inLost-$1017142.1%72 W · 99 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed Team Heretics Academy79c48.38$38 inWon+$10.434255.6%190 W · 152 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.