TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Heretics Academyof Team Heretics Academy, GIANTX iTero
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,806
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,806 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked GIANTX iTero27c16,135$4,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,348.7996048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Team Heretics Academy73c10,909$8,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.011,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Team Heretics Academy73c8,884$6,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,398.640370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Team Heretics Academy73c6,082$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.171,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Team Heretics Academy76c3,947$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.279853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed GIANTX iTero24c3,042$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73014761.9%91 W · 56 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked GIANTX iTero26c2,947$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.1724535.9%88 W · 157 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked GIANTX iTero26c2,772$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.81714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-72.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed GIANTX iTero29c1,243$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.561,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed GIANTX iTero28c816.46$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.611,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Team Heretics Academy73c661.68$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.652,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Team Heretics Academy76c656.98$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6821150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed GIANTX iTero26c493.24$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1735443.2%153 W · 201 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked GIANTX iTero29c450.28$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7229738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed GIANTX iTero26c435$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.19533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked GIANTX iTero29c406.58$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5124832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Team Heretics Academy71c400$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11789050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed GIANTX iTero26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003560%21 W · 14 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+37.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3517…8e75backed GIANTX iTero26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked GIANTX iTero26c382$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3212754.3%69 W · 58 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked GIANTX iTero26c361.3$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9434849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed GIANTX iTero26c360.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8516933.1%56 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked GIANTX iTero24c357.29$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5122142.5%94 W · 127 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked GIANTX iTero29c276.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8059248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed GIANTX iTero26c263.77$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5818648.9%91 W · 95 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked GIANTX iTero26c263.77$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5844745.2%202 W · 245 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed GIANTX iTero24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509537.9%36 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked GIANTX iTero27c182.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7820143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad3…1af6backed GIANTX iTero24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408237.8%31 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked GIANTX iTero24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012447.6%59 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked GIANTX iTero30c153.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4617650%88 W · 88 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked GIANTX iTero27c140$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.824544.5%109 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed GIANTX iTero24c132.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.632,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked GIANTX iTero28c132.37$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.313336.8%49 W · 84 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked GIANTX iTero39c125$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4990537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Team Heretics Academy80c124.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick79cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed GIANTX iTero26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013349.6%66 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Team Heretics Academy76c111.11$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6722265.3%145 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed GIANTX iTero31c109.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.321,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Team Heretics Academy71c109.11$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6438555.1%212 W · 173 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked GIANTX iTero21c106$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.521,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba1…838bbacked Team Heretics Academy61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3912270.5%86 W · 36 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked GIANTX iTero26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2638931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Team Heretics Academy72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.7wins-0.29per pick61cpaid-58.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GIANTX iTero32c93.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.852,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Heretics Academy72c88.53$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4560243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Team Heretics Academy75c88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225955.9%33 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2175…4b33backed GIANTX iTero24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62cd…7b19backed GIANTX iTero24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206746.3%31 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked GIANTX iTero25c79.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1827348%131 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Heretics Academy75c77.41$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0837343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Heretics Academy74c70.08$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Heretics Academy77c66.18$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.161,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15fe…74babacked GIANTX iTero23c60.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146060%36 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed GIANTX iTero23c60$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.897854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked GIANTX iTero26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513951.8%72 W · 67 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Team Heretics Academy65c52.49$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed GIANTX iTero27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.537650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed GIANTX iTero26c43.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4321458.9%126 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Team Heretics Academy76c34.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2411369%78 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Team Heretics Academy77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.976569.2%45 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe052…4a2cbacked Team Heretics Academy77c19.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.554852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Team Heretics Academy79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.111735%41 W · 76 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.