Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Katie Volynets vs Elizara Yaneva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9134b606adf49f8840d1bf59219484c4b834552fc833768937fcb22f3ecaee02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katie Volynetsof Katie Volynets, Elizara Yaneva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Elizara Yaneva | 14c | 26,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.81 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elizara Yaneva | 21c | 956.36$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Katie Volynets | 79c | 498.28$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Elizara Yaneva | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Elizara Yaneva | 22c | 377.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Elizara Yaneva | 8c | 316.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Katie Volynets | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Elizara Yaneva | 26c | 308.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Elizara Yaneva | 24c | 265.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Katie Volynets | 74c | 258.08$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Katie Volynets | 76c | 242$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Elizara Yaneva | 22c | 216.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Katie Volynets | 79c | 189.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Katie Volynets | 79c | 185.56$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Elizara Yaneva | 21c | 181.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Elizara Yaneva | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Katie Volynets | 77c | 160$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Katie Volynets | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Elizara Yaneva | 20c | 97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Elizara Yaneva | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Katie Volynets | 75c | 80.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Elizara Yaneva | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Katie Volynets | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Katie Volynets | 78c | 66.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Katie Volynets | 79c | 61.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Elizara Yaneva | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Elizara Yaneva | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…b62bbacked Katie Volynets | 80c | 36.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Katie Volynets | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 278 | 71.6%199 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Katie Volynets | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Katie Volynets | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Katie Volynets | 74c | 16.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Katie Volynets | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Katie Volynets | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.