Europa Conference League · resolved market
Larne FC vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91965ef6c4a96884d0f50eca27ef66ca47c888708f57c19b10a41be1a8f52382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lincoln Red Imps FCof Larne FC, Lincoln Red Imps FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x658e…d758backed Larne FC | 43c | 3,399$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Lincoln Red Imps FC | 8c | 2,566$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,361.03 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 30cpaid | +412.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Larne FC | 2c | 2,331$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Larne FC | 21c | 2,201$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.76 | 838 | 45%377 W · 461 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Lincoln Red Imps FC | 79c | 1,488$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Lincoln Red Imps FC | 76c | 1,410$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.26 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Larne FC | 26c | 1,333$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.77 | 677 | 56.3%381 W · 296 L | +34.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Lincoln Red Imps FC | 59c | 1,141$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.48 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Larne FC | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Larne FC | 19c | 993.79$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.43 | 205 | 43.9%90 W · 115 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Lincoln Red Imps FC | 59c | 752.93$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.95 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Lincoln Red Imps FC | 77c | 461.77$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Lincoln Red Imps FC | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lincoln Red Imps FC | 66c | 337$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Lincoln Red Imps FC | 72c | 321.37$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Larne FC | 20c | 308.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Lincoln Red Imps FC | 7c | 261.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.86 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Larne FC | 19c | 242$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Larne FC | 49c | 220.19$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lincoln Red Imps FC | 8c | 196$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.37 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Larne FC | 38c | 159$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Lincoln Red Imps FC | 65c | 154.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Larne FC | 11c | 96.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Larne FC | 44c | 95.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4613…33b4backed Larne FC | 33c | 84.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb169…5ad3backed Lincoln Red Imps FC | 67c | 82.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…0f58backed Larne FC | 44c | 68.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Larne FC | 18c | 64.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…ef59backed Lincoln Red Imps FC | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…f078backed Larne FC | 44c | 46.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…6b9abacked Lincoln Red Imps FC | 72c | 41.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1336…bf9bbacked Lincoln Red Imps FC | 75c | 40.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…384ebacked Lincoln Red Imps FC | 75c | 40.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ca…4419backed Larne FC | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Lincoln Red Imps FC | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Larne FC | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Larne FC | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lincoln Red Imps FC | 51c | 22.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 1,103 | 45.3%500 W · 603 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Lincoln Red Imps FC | 72c | 20.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lincoln Red Imps FC | 63c | 18.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +11.0wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Larne FC vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Team to Advancethis page
- Larne FC vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Larne FC vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Larne FC vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: Lincoln Red Imps FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Larne FC vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Larne FC vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Larne FC vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Larne FC vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Larne FC (-1.5)Lincoln Red Imps FC won
- Spread: Lincoln Red Imps FC (-1.5)Lincoln Red Imps FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.