Tennis · resolved market
Antalya 3: Katarzyna Kawa vs Despina Papamichail
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91a83d1a57087c8efac00420e1e24838daed572d7c50eaa95f16c25fcafde767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katarzyna Kawaof Katarzyna Kawa, Despina Papamichail
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,921 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Despina Papamichail | 10c | 3,007$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.09 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Katarzyna Kawa | 68c | 2,940$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.86 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Despina Papamichail | 6c | 2,084$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.53 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 66c | 1,702$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.57 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Despina Papamichail | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Despina Papamichail | 34c | 1,300$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Despina Papamichail | 32c | 1,200$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Despina Papamichail | 34c | 964.56$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.63 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Despina Papamichail | 32c | 948.24$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.7 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Despina Papamichail | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Katarzyna Kawa | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Katarzyna Kawa | 67c | 744.15$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.15 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Katarzyna Kawa | 67c | 728.64$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.45 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…effbbacked Despina Papamichail | 33c | 689.39$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Despina Papamichail | 32c | 678$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.96 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Despina Papamichail | 33c | 666.6$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Despina Papamichail | 33c | 620.05$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.62 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Despina Papamichail | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Despina Papamichail | 15c | 392$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 67c | 365$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.45 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Katarzyna Kawa | 70c | 339.11$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Despina Papamichail | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Despina Papamichail | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Despina Papamichail | 34c | 259.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 87 | 24.1%21 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Despina Papamichail | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Despina Papamichail | 12c | 245.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Katarzyna Kawa | 66c | 244$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Despina Papamichail | 34c | 207.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Despina Papamichail | 12c | 203.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Despina Papamichail | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 65c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 66c | 194.26$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Despina Papamichail | 34c | 149.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 79c | 139.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Katarzyna Kawa | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Despina Papamichail | 33c | 125.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Katarzyna Kawa | 67c | 124.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Despina Papamichail | 33c | 121.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Katarzyna Kawa | 70c | 118$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Despina Papamichail | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Despina Papamichail | 33c | 86.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Katarzyna Kawa | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Despina Papamichail | 39c | 80.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Despina Papamichail | 20c | 67.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Despina Papamichail | 31c | 65.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Despina Papamichail | 22c | 63.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Despina Papamichail | 34c | 58.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Katarzyna Kawa | 78c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Katarzyna Kawa | 78c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Despina Papamichail | 34c | 52.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Despina Papamichail | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Katarzyna Kawa | 66c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Despina Papamichail | 30c | 38.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Katarzyna Kawa | 67c | 37.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 308 | 60.1%185 W · 123 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Katarzyna Kawa | 66c | 36.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Katarzyna Kawa | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Katarzyna Kawa | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112e…0d1fbacked Despina Papamichail | 34c | 30.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 349 | 65%227 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Katarzyna Kawa | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Katarzyna Kawa | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Katarzyna Kawa | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Katarzyna Kawa | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Katarzyna Kawa | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Katarzyna Kawa | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Katarzyna Kawa | 66c | 18.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Antalya 3: Katarzyna Kawa vs Despina Papamichailthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Kawa vs PapamichailKawa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.