MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x922f7362ebf0a915b67cba737c661f016a1259256c74b1c2c0686e9c6e54a1f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Rockies | 0c | 36,643$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 4c | 18,926$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.69 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Rockies | 1c | 11,001$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 1c | 2,888$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Tigers | 64c | 2,269$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.95 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Rockies | 36c | 2,102$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.82 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rockies | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Tigers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockies | 36c | 1,447$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.53 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 36c | 1,242$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.96 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Rockies | 11c | 1,100$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rockies | 36c | 1,002$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.53 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockies | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 37c | 957.31$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.2 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockies | 37c | 933.45$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.95 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Tigers | 63c | 795.85$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.85 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Rockies | 34c | 666.33$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.55 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Tigers | 61c | 606$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.34 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 66c | 406$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 62c | 323.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.45 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6577…2660backed Rockies | 31c | 310$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Rockies | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rockies | 37c | 281$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Tigers | 61c | 260$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 38c | 254.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Tigers | 80c | 218.11$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…0e62backed Tigers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Tigers | 61c | 130.81$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockies | 38c | 121.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Tigers | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Rockies | 37c | 114$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…4b7ebacked Tigers | 62c | 104.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…9f84backed Rockies | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Rockies | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Tigers | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 65c | 95.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Tigers | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Rockies | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Tigers | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Rockies | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Tigers | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Tigers | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 64c | 43.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddcf…d49ebacked Tigers | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Tigers | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Tigers | 62c | 16.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.