CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92305b3d9cc75375cf565c37a198f01f1f16743c9da85e61fb6cf9ec31215108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Infiniteof Infinite, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Infinite | 48c | 4,739$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.04 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Infinite | 43c | 2,040$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.81 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 1,900$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.4 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Infinite | 36c | 934.61$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.57 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Infinite | 43c | 861.79$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.49 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Infinite | 50c | 725.43$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.21 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Infinite | 52c | 390.48$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 376.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed ex-RUBY | 31c | 243.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Infinite | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 190.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Infinite | 44c | 173.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Infinite | 56c | 173.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Infinite | 67c | 154$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Infinite | 51c | 151$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Infinite | 47c | 145.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Infinite | 39c | 141.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ex-RUBY | 77c | 130.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-RUBY | 10c | 114.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Infinite | 59c | 104.5$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-RUBY | 29c | 88.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Infinite | 55c | 75.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…a213backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 69.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Infinite | 50c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Infinite | 54c | 60.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Infinite | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Infinite | 49c | 48.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Infinite | 43c | 46.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Infinite | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed Infinite | 45c | 42.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Infinite | 49c | 41.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 33.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Infinite | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Infinite | 50c | 29.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Infinite | 36c | 28.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed ex-RUBY | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Infinite | 49c | 26.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…7ddebacked Infinite | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsInfinite won
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerInfinite won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.