MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d5bf3413e3c6b49e5a1c50277447ba2a06dea643fd980ad39f39e600d084c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Lotte Giants, KT Wiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed KT Wiz | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 759.91$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.75 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 485.74$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.08 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 370.94$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.44 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8883…67cebacked KT Wiz | 60c | 214.85$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 73c | 209.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.31 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 186.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.44 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed KT Wiz | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 15c | 182.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Lotte Giants | 46c | 168.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed KT Wiz | 32c | 156.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed KT Wiz | 56c | 145.57$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 138.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed KT Wiz | 57c | 137.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 64c | 134.39$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…76a1backed KT Wiz | 55c | 100.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c20…42a1backed KT Wiz | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed KT Wiz | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 97.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…c821backed KT Wiz | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…c0f3backed KT Wiz | 55c | 82.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked KT Wiz | 55c | 75.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed KT Wiz | 58c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 64.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 51.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 48.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked KT Wiz | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…d402backed KT Wiz | 59c | 42.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Lotte Giants | 43c | 38.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 186 | 48.4%90 W · 96 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed KT Wiz | 58c | 37.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed KT Wiz | 58c | 32.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked KT Wiz | 58c | 31.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…1b38backed Lotte Giants | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9e39backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…141fbacked KT Wiz | 62c | 24.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.