South American Leagues · resolved market
SE Palmeiras vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93c776ede1268830fb39047f06afc2c3c83baf79f396753e9586ab8da45ee6bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,004 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 49c | 100,000$48,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,028.55 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Over | 51c | 39,520$20,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,155.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 51c | 21,786$11,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,110.86 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over | 51c | 10,517$5,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,363.47 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 49c | 9,835$4,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015.97 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed Over | 29c | 7,500$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed Over | 53c | 5,405$2,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,843 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Over | 51c | 2,863$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 2,633$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.94 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 2,169$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.45 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over | 51c | 1,588$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 1,161$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.08 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 1,104$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.11 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 37c | 879.6$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 47c | 876.27$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.44 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 51c | 780$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 681.26$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.88 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 604.91$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.4 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 36c | 585.21$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 74c | 540.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.15 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 32c | 464.25$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 446.21$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…b945backed Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 52c | 333.84$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.54 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 54c | 261.11$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 51c | 229$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 51c | 202.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 144.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 51c | 137.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 51c | 136.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 40c | 113.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 19c | 110.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 51c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Over | 11c | 93.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 79.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Over | 51c | 76.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…4c7abacked Under | 48c | 62.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 51c | 59.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…5314backed Under | 67c | 58.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Under | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 51c | 46.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 58c | 40.64$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 39.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 50c | 32.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Over | 41c | 31.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 42c | 30.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 51c | 28.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Over | 51c | 28.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SE Palmeiras vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5this page
- SE Palmeiras vs. Mirassol FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)Mirassol FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.