TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

SE Palmeiras vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,004 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under49c100,000$48,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,028.5529446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Over51c39,520$20,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,155.21250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c21,786$11,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,110.8623354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Over51c10,517$5,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,363.473151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under49c9,835$4,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,015.974165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ad…c898backed Over29c7,500$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.8640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Over53c5,405$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,84320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over51c3,500$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7855259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Over51c2,863$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c2,633$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.942,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2753652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c2,169$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.453,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Over51c1,588$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8101050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c1,161$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.083060%18 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over49c1,104$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.115,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over37c879.6$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.451833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under47c876.27$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.446555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over51c780$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.84346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c681.26$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8816543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c604.91$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.437851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3064953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over36c585.21$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124344.2%19 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Under74c540.15$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.151877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012645.2%57 W · 69 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over32c464.25$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5928231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c446.21$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.382,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed Under50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over52c333.84$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.542263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over54c261.11$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Over51c229$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.792360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0831745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c202.6$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5250746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9618742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.519460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.53951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.53151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.512761.4%78 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.57153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.52850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over34c144.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.78,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over51c137.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1620953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over51c136.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8527053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.755160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under46c125$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over40c113.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4511036.4%40 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over19c110.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8735758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over51c105$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2513557%77 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4183642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5117960.3%108 W · 71 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Under57c96$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.463138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over11c93.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.152133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.97055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over51c79.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.67554.7%41 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over51c76.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over51c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.257856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.76162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bba…4c7abacked Under48c62.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.63050%15 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.63948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.64050%20 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.64353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.66962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.62955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.65151%26 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over51c59.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.39953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over32c59.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1944939.2%176 W · 273 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305554.5%30 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd3…5314backed Under67c58.27$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.23887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.38per pick50cpaid+96.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Under75c53.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333060%18 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over51c46.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.883348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under58c40.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.079363.4%59 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c39.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5530754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8910943.1%47 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8924253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.892958.6%17 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.894748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0742…86a0backed Over42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156221%13 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over50c32.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0811448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94f9…e1b8backed Over41c31.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.818843.2%38 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Over42c30.14$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6616453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.33151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.32951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa991…f266backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.87742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over51c28.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.639759.8%58 W · 39 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Over51c28.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.611957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.