TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Reds vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Reds, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,049 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3451…49a5backed Tigers56c8,394$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,694.011650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5201,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Tigers56c7,821$4,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,441.4211153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Reds44c6,233$2,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,742.5886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Reds45c2,835$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.541,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Tigers56c2,491$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.4619452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Reds44c2,400$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05649250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Tigers54c2,150$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.9543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Tigers55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers74c1,580$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.439,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Reds45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.1137446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Tigers55c1,422$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.931346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Reds45c1,155$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.7527953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Reds46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Reds46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Reds13c958.04$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Reds44c923.54$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.3676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Reds2c849.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.578762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds25c791.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Tigers57c782.77$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.7713946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59de…de22backed Tigers55c730$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.55145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Reds33c718.5$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.171,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Reds30c676.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Reds5c672.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.835053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26442452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Reds44c580.93$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.615,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Reds45c545.39$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.431540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Tigers75c539.58$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2340547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Reds10c538.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.841,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Tigers65c530.96$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9817744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds45c507.82$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.521,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Tigers54c499.97$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9971751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Reds22c480.42$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.618139.5%32 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers55c428.54$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0251151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Reds44c399.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Reds21c369$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4979740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b66…7554backed Tigers55c366.35$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.865459.3%32 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ae7…91debacked Tigers56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.142657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5532…c6dbbacked Tigers56c303.57$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5719449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Reds40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Reds43c297.81$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.811,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers64c285.88$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3651953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4e…3488backed Tigers73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.972828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-49%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Reds46c261.26$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8b…754fbacked Reds15c226.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.12180%0 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Tigers59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8220448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tigers58c188.2$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.21,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Reds41c183.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa320…ce76backed Reds46c182.09$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.762951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Tigers56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5720645.1%93 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Reds39c174.1$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5220343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds37c173.76$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.784,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Tigers58c173.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2720150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds44c163.07$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.751,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b41…88cabacked Tigers56c160.2$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.493246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x605a…c6debacked Tigers61c150$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.512267.2%82 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa7…ca82backed Reds46c144.35$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.852650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf44f…9756backed Tigers55c143.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.962763%17 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d91…ebcebacked Reds46c140.87$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.82934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-38.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x80a0…d0afbacked Tigers55c138.09$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.142948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd958…2ee0backed Reds46c132.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.112951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2474…7473backed Tigers56c117.64$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.763243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a1c…3f79backed Reds46c115.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…5841backed Reds45c114.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c5…5937backed Reds46c112.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ebe…2461backed Reds46c109.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.13060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9858…2a5fbacked Reds45c109.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.233339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Tigers54c107.98$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6712552.8%66 W · 59 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98fd…5decbacked Reds46c107.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Reds45c103.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.81,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds45c101$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.452,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Reds25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ea…17ebbacked Reds46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Tigers80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a0b…8941backed Reds46c99.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67df…b42fbacked Reds46c98.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.45540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2014…1090backed Tigers55c98.73$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3482…042cbacked Tigers55c96.44$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0974…e6c7backed Reds46c96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa40c…5f5dbacked Tigers56c95.82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.16450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…126cbacked Tigers55c95.18$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.83475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Reds45c94.6$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4185047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x878f…0084backed Tigers56c93.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09fc…ac8ebacked Tigers55c92.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31cb…95a9backed Tigers56c91.72$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Reds44c90.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0419849%97 W · 101 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f28…a583backed Reds46c90.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c11…719fbacked Tigers56c89.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.482751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac10…6a71backed Tigers55c89.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f0…87fdbacked Tigers55c87.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dba…187cbacked Tigers56c86.09$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c3…35d4backed Tigers55c85.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Reds46c85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.11,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2d…10a0backed Reds46c84.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad5b…2dc4backed Tigers55c82.15$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.97450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0624…faafbacked Tigers58c82.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.353148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a1…b4b9backed Reds46c79.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc923…f0adbacked Reds46c78.39$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.063053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.