Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rogaska Slatina: Eszter Meri vs Sara Mikaca
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94561a11022024a268f37e8b237fabedc1f59a5c6ff43773ad18642085bbb094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sara Mikacaof Eszter Meri, Sara Mikaca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sara Mikaca | 37c | 18,660$6,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,754.07 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Eszter Meri | 71c | 9,628$6,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,791.83 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eszter Meri | 58c | 4,756$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.9 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sara Mikaca | 28c | 2,608$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.8 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eszter Meri | 56c | 2,356$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.35 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Eszter Meri | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Eszter Meri | 62c | 1,875$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.43 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Sara Mikaca | 38c | 1,627$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.7 | 455 | 53%241 W · 214 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Eszter Meri | 65c | 1,526$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.16 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Sara Mikaca | 48c | 1,041$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Eszter Meri | 59c | 947.4$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.12 | 396 | 46.5%184 W · 212 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Sara Mikaca | 38c | 911$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.18 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Eszter Meri | 72c | 827.88$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Sara Mikaca | 35c | 531$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.88 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Eszter Meri | 62c | 514.98$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.27 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Sara Mikaca | 52c | 469$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 476 | 57.4%273 W · 203 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Sara Mikaca | 30c | 444.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.45 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Sara Mikaca | 14c | 396.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.92 | 249 | 28.9%72 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Eszter Meri | 60c | 359$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.84 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sara Mikaca | 46c | 356.41$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sara Mikaca | 41c | 260.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sara Mikaca | 38c | 247.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Eszter Meri | 62c | 234.01$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…252bbacked Eszter Meri | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eszter Meri | 15c | 216.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Sara Mikaca | 18c | 202.86$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.86 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Eszter Meri | 59c | 187.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.69 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Eszter Meri | 58c | 161.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Eszter Meri | 58c | 152.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Eszter Meri | 54c | 140.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eszter Meri | 16c | 130.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Eszter Meri | 42c | 124$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 1,066 | 50.1%534 W · 532 L | +48.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Sara Mikaca | 31c | 115.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Eszter Meri | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Sara Mikaca | 14c | 93.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 433 | 59.6%258 W · 175 L | +26.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Eszter Meri | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eszter Meri | 65c | 76.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Eszter Meri | 58c | 73.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Eszter Meri | 65c | 72.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Eszter Meri | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Eszter Meri | 65c | 54.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 782 | 48.3%378 W · 404 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sara Mikaca | 27c | 49.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…d405backed Eszter Meri | 55c | 47.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Sara Mikaca | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 516 | 36.2%187 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Sara Mikaca | 63c | 37.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 676 | 78.7%532 W · 144 L | +49.5wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Eszter Meri | 59c | 36.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked Sara Mikaca | 42c | 35.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Eszter Meri | 58c | 34.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed Sara Mikaca | 46c | 28.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Eszter Meri | 56c | 26.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Eszter Meri | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Eszter Meri | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 298 | 49.7%148 W · 150 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Eszter Meri | 61c | 24.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Eszter Meri | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.