TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 4.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,606
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,608

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,606 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under40c865.58$346 inWon+$519.3516546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under40c827.73$331 inWon+$496.6476551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Over56c532.87$298 inLost-$298.4111745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over61c461.61$283 inLost-$283.29757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over60c454.48$273 inLost-$272.693,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c09…ed31backed Over57c376$216 inLost-$215.9714440.3%58 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over58c291.36$169 inLost-$168.9940355.3%223 W · 180 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Under44c250$110 inWon+$14032044.1%141 W · 179 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under41c250$102 inWon+$147.533154.4%180 W · 151 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3610…4593backed Over59c246$145 inLost-$145.144647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over59c218.69$129 inLost-$129.373,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under40c175$70 inWon+$10513247%62 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under38c145.93$55 inWon+$90.472,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under38c82$31 inWon+$50.843,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over60c64.71$39 inLost-$38.743,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under40c50$20 inWon+$3025948.6%126 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Over58c50$29 inLost-$298146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Under42c49.99$21 inWon+$2955942.4%237 W · 322 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0939…9852backed Over59c33.9$20 inLost-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under41c26.19$11 inWon+$15.4566056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under40c25$10 inWon+$153778.4%29 W · 8 L+9.5wins+0.26per pick53cpaid+53.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x44eb…48c6backed Over56c20.26$11 inLost-$11.359164.8%59 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93e9…4d47backed Over60c16.75$10 inLost-$1010165.3%66 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.