Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa353a02e47aa296e89034329b7dd2718cb2e64e3eac75fe52f2fa2c1b00e0ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Over | 27c | 8,517$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.71 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Under | 74c | 3,635$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.13 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 74c | 3,281$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.83 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 25c | 1,941$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.17 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 73c | 1,784$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.54 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 72c | 1,637$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.35 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Over | 31c | 1,622$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 73c | 1,300$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 73c | 1,250$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.17 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 28c | 1,230$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.04 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 26c | 1,141$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.73 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 1,060$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 73c | 865$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.55 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 77c | 841.49$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.69 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 27c | 750$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 70c | 718.57$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.7 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 74c | 718.3$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.76 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 73c | 684.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 27c | 639.07$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.55 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…99c2backed Under | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…0bfebacked Under | 73c | 206$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…1499backed Over | 26c | 182.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Over | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 73c | 78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 27c | 71.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…0e52backed Over | 26c | 48.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…a49dbacked Under | 78c | 37.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…2f38backed Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2b39backed Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 71c | 19.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.