Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac06abe60306d8bade407c2f95357621ed21b0f6d87230717bbb59c4d1c9622b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb014…a357backed Under | 61c | 15,000$9,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,903.48 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Over | 36c | 9,644$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.73 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Over | 36c | 5,978$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.05 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Under | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 64c | 2,703$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 35c | 2,133$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.58 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 63c | 2,049$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.68 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 39c | 1,998$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.34 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 36c | 1,920$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.2 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 37c | 1,885$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.43 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 35c | 1,864$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.51 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Over | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Over | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 63c | 1,280$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.86 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x580e…38cdbacked Over | 44c | 1,134$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 40c | 995.9$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.44 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 7c | 902$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Over | 39c | 824$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.36 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 7c | 782.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 59c | 771.15$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.98 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…3797backed Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…2500backed Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…22a2backed Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…e665backed Under | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Over | 39c | 475.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.63 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 63c | 454.35$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.35 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Over | 23c | 428.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed Under | 59c | 416$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.56 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 63c | 405.41$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Under | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…a12abacked Under | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 36c | 285.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Under | 64c | 232.53$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.71 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 78c | 203.18$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 60c | 193.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 324 | 44.1%143 W · 181 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d4…716ebacked Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8784backed Over | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…aedebacked Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 55c | 104$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…3d1cbacked Under | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 62c | 91.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Under | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 62c | 82.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 63c | 80.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 36c | 63.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 35c | 58.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 36c | 56.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Over | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 509 | 50.7%258 W · 251 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…755dbacked Over | 37c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked Under | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…9e43backed Over | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 102 | 23.5%24 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Over | 36c | 37.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…c4adbacked Under | 65c | 35.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ad…4fd1backed Under | 60c | 33.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 35c | 32.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88e…cb19backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 60c | 23.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…8704backed Under | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 64c | 21.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.