Fifa International · resolved market
Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8296c492c4e06882907eaa52432bdcb460ff81789ad8d608fa261740a07643c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Under | 75c | 1,708$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.66 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 44c | 1,603$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.2 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 28c | 1,276$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.05 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 1,160$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.13 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 27c | 1,155$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.59 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 69c | 722.63$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.28 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Under | 72c | 403.31$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 53c | 350$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 55c | 347.88$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 25c | 332$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 316.59$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 295.59$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Over | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Over | 45c | 230.37$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 29c | 193.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 55c | 161$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 70c | 139.96$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 67c | 136.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x352c…940dbacked Under | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 66c | 113.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 31c | 76.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 50.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 31c | 44.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 68c | 40.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…419fbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 25.2%33 W · 98 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Under | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 329 | 59.6%196 W · 133 L | +21.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Croatia O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Croatia vs. Ghana: Total Corners Odd or Even?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.