Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95607b89da322823b12a1374a25881f0326f9cd3a6c3495b5bdbe211cc251c9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 29c | 8,348$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.15 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 49c | 6,385$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.51 | 2,795 | 34.8%973 W · 1,822 L | -86.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 72c | 5,241$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.01 | 2,738 | 40.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 63c | 4,176$2,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.4 | 677 | 56.3%381 W · 296 L | +34.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 28c | 2,282$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.78 | 659 | 43.9%289 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…5782backed No | 25c | 2,163$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 71c | 2,013$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.9 | 1,290 | 49.1%633 W · 657 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 75c | 1,686$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.26 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 72c | 811.02$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.61 | 334 | 42.5%142 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 74c | 678.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 508.18$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.39 | 2,434 | 37.3%909 W · 1,525 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 23c | 420.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 384 | 31.5%121 W · 263 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 70c | 300.43$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 1,034 | 50.8%525 W · 509 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 70c | 257$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 27c | 248$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 222 | 37.8%84 W · 138 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 72c | 206$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 414 | 42.3%175 W · 239 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…4d23backed No | 8c | 199.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 64c | 184.12$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 1,895 | 38.7%734 W · 1,161 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 48c | 123.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 837 | 33%276 W · 561 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 68c | 122.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 341 | 42.8%146 W · 195 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 46c | 115.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 78c | 98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 71c | 95.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1,219 | 36.3%442 W · 777 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…da75backed No | 31c | 94.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…92f3backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed No | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 25c | 58.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 142 | 40.8%58 W · 84 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 344 | 49.1%169 W · 175 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 636 | 49.5%315 W · 321 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 495 | 55.4%274 W · 221 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 64c | 40.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked No | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked No | 69c | 33.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 70c | 32.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,104 | 45.4%501 W · 603 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 79c | 27.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…6635backed No | 63c | 20.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-27?this page
- Will KÍ win on 2026-08-27?No won
- Will Rīga FC vs. KÍ end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.