Tennis · resolved market
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Karl Poling
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9585a61b45bfad3bd21c2f84e1106e0810ee3cda593fea5520d69435f6499ee6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stefanos Sakellaridisof Stefanos Sakellaridis, Karl Poling
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 69c | 8,358$5,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Karl Poling | 32c | 8,000$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.98 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Karl Poling | 32c | 7,298$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.34 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Karl Poling | 24c | 6,736$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.86 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…fac3backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 51c | 6,370$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.16 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 76c | 6,043$4,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.54 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Karl Poling | 34c | 4,070$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Karl Poling | 54c | 2,685$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Karl Poling | 9c | 2,482$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.34 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Karl Poling | 7c | 2,365$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.08 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 73c | 2,110$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.59 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Karl Poling | 25c | 2,069$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.81 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karl Poling | 24c | 1,875$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.19 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 76c | 1,715$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.51 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…2b5dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Karl Poling | 24c | 1,119$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.55 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 79c | 839$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.98 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Karl Poling | 34c | 757.06$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.18 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 73c | 582.43$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Karl Poling | 53c | 579.72$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.04 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 47c | 561.15$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.33 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 46c | 526.74$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.19 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Karl Poling | 10c | 437.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Karl Poling | 45c | 382.43$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Karl Poling | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 67c | 296.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Karl Poling | 19c | 292.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Karl Poling | 39c | 267$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.17 | 355 | 58.6%208 W · 147 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 59c | 255.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 216 | 61.1%132 W · 84 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Karl Poling | 56c | 229.1$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Karl Poling | 18c | 226.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Karl Poling | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…8fa3backed Karl Poling | 16c | 206.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Karl Poling | 20c | 204.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karl Poling | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 72c | 168.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Karl Poling | 13c | 111.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…9c8dbacked Karl Poling | 18c | 108.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Karl Poling | 20c | 103.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Karl Poling | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Karl Poling | 33c | 93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Karl Poling | 46c | 82.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 80c | 67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Karl Poling | 24c | 59.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Karl Poling | 22c | 52.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 77c | 48.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcc…459fbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 64c | 46.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Karl Poling | 24c | 45.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 69c | 39.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 57c | 35.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…1c3cbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 57c | 24.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…25a8backed Karl Poling | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Stefanos Sakellaridis | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.