Cricket · resolved market
The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs MI London
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a5eee502f6774845c1ba3ad58815cf5981c820007364d97d3ffadb8d14223c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Welsh Fireof Welsh Fire, MI London
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x972b…78babacked MI London | 0c | 15,135$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed MI London | 29c | 4,925$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.21 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked MI London | 56c | 4,873$2,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.81 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Welsh Fire | 71c | 4,854$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.49 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Welsh Fire | 53c | 3,722$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.16 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3627…09f2backed MI London | 8c | 1,020$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…c269backed Welsh Fire | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 140 | 70.7%99 W · 41 L | +21.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed MI London | 56c | 888.57$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…ce29backed Welsh Fire | 69c | 665.57$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.07 | 203 | 63.5%129 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5b…e7d8backed MI London | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Welsh Fire | 74c | 470$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked MI London | 31c | 462.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.48 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MI London | 30c | 301.15$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…5047backed MI London | 38c | 301.14$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.61 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Welsh Fire | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe858…35d3backed MI London | 12c | 275.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MI London | 22c | 195.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…73dcbacked Welsh Fire | 63c | 184.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MI London | 24c | 156.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MI London | 57c | 132.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked MI London | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f75…3018backed MI London | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Welsh Fire | 66c | 84.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…8887backed Welsh Fire | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…53c6backed MI London | 19c | 72.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -66%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…8590backed MI London | 17c | 66.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed MI London | 25c | 57.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Welsh Fire | 43c | 57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Welsh Fire | 68c | 54.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked MI London | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Welsh Fire | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…b726backed Welsh Fire | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MI London | 53c | 36.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked MI London | 56c | 35.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Welsh Fire | 69c | 31.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked MI London | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…ab3dbacked MI London | 39c | 28.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Welsh Fire | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Welsh Fire | 60c | 21.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…e845backed Welsh Fire | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.