Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95c464ca62b06d1d3528b9048ac0f12fb8f71b2a1a95dd9c6fef35d767c7a707
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Freiburgof SC Freiburg, Motherwell FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed SC Freiburg | 42c | 12,891$5,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,503.9 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Motherwell FC | 64c | 12,209$7,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,816.15 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Motherwell FC | 68c | 6,653$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,513.22 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed SC Freiburg | 23c | 2,191$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.11 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SC Freiburg | 25c | 1,729$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.27 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed SC Freiburg | 41c | 867.32$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.72 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed SC Freiburg | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked SC Freiburg | 52c | 285$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed SC Freiburg | 41c | 258.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.69 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Motherwell FC | 65c | 257.06$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.09 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SC Freiburg | 36c | 228.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.01 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…8896backed SC Freiburg | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked SC Freiburg | 42c | 192.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SC Freiburg | 58c | 186$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed SC Freiburg | 42c | 172.27$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.67 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed SC Freiburg | 41c | 138.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.86 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Motherwell FC | 71c | 131.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.92 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Motherwell FC | 71c | 131.13$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SC Freiburg | 59c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…b1fbbacked SC Freiburg | 41c | 94.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Motherwell FC | 74c | 94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked SC Freiburg | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Motherwell FC | 71c | 86.27$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed SC Freiburg | 38c | 78.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Motherwell FC | 71c | 77.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed SC Freiburg | 75c | 72$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed SC Freiburg | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed SC Freiburg | 41c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 41cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Motherwell FC | 59c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked SC Freiburg | 42c | 40.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked SC Freiburg | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SC Freiburg | 29c | 39.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Motherwell FC | 75c | 39.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884b…c480backed Motherwell FC | 59c | 39.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked SC Freiburg | 51c | 39.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Motherwell FC | 65c | 37.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked SC Freiburg | 34c | 36.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Motherwell FC | 56c | 34.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…64b1backed SC Freiburg | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Motherwell FC | 48c | 26.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed SC Freiburg | 44c | 25.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Motherwell FC | 73c | 20.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Motherwell FC | 60c | 18.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)this page
- Motherwell FC vs. SC Freiburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Motherwell FC vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Motherwell FC vs. SC Freiburg: Motherwell FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Motherwell FC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- Motherwell FC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- Motherwell FC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- Motherwell FC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Motherwell FC vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Motherwell FC (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)Motherwell FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.