Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Yastremska vs Ito
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x965a924fa52a0f728aef200b809e03fcd5eabfdf8ef21024985d046ee59edde4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yastremskaof Yastremska, Ito
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yastremska | 47c | 1,466$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.98 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ito | 55c | 1,333$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.4 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Ito | 36c | 187.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Ito | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yastremska | 46c | 143.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yastremska | 30c | 136.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.67 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yastremska | 55c | 129.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yastremska | 46c | 128.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ito | 42c | 102.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Ito | 65c | 101.05$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Ito | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ito | 36c | 90.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ito | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yastremska | 49c | 68.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Yastremska | 73c | 64.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ito | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Ito | 38c | 50.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Yastremska | 26c | 48.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Yastremska | 71c | 47.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Ito | 24c | 47.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yastremska | 76c | 47.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Yastremska | 42c | 39.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yastremska | 74c | 38.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ito | 26c | 38.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ab…faadbacked Ito | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Ito | 54c | 29.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Yastremska | 46c | 29.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Yastremska vs Itothis page
- Set 2 Winner: Yastremska vs ItoIto won
- Set Handicap: Yastremska (-1.5) vs Ito (+1.5)Ito won
- Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Aoi ItoDayana Yastremska won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.