Tennis · resolved market
Cap Cana: Roberto Bautista Agut vs David Goffin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96663c431704f6e71d5c0208c9a7797b1ea8dfe2f524fbeec20298476c14bb70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roberto Bautista Agutof Roberto Bautista Agut, David Goffin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,515 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed David Goffin | 6c | 11,219$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.52 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed David Goffin | 1c | 3,360$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed David Goffin | 32c | 1,628$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.84 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 65c | 1,543$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.96 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked David Goffin | 35c | 1,192$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.37 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed David Goffin | 30c | 1,112$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.11 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 80c | 948.39$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed David Goffin | 25c | 920.4$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.58 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 67c | 802.37$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.88 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed David Goffin | 19c | 783.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked David Goffin | 16c | 688.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 77c | 673.96$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 75c | 667.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.86 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 66c | 633.99$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked David Goffin | 35c | 509.83$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked David Goffin | 38c | 394.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.02 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed David Goffin | 4c | 373$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed David Goffin | 35c | 299.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked David Goffin | 34c | 257$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.38 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 75c | 240.8$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked David Goffin | 21c | 201.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 65c | 198.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed David Goffin | 35c | 182.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed David Goffin | 16c | 163.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 65c | 152.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked David Goffin | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed David Goffin | 34c | 148.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb32…787dbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed David Goffin | 20c | 140.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked David Goffin | 32c | 132.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 62c | 115.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked David Goffin | 36c | 113.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 68c | 100.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed David Goffin | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed David Goffin | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed David Goffin | 34c | 87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed David Goffin | 22c | 85.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4096…ad4dbacked David Goffin | 18c | 82.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 61c | 79.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked David Goffin | 21c | 79.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…c711backed David Goffin | 21c | 64.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed David Goffin | 33c | 59.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…e708backed David Goffin | 31c | 57.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 64c | 56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…6100backed David Goffin | 35c | 52.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed David Goffin | 34c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked David Goffin | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 67c | 49.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed David Goffin | 36c | 48.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 73c | 48.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 64c | 43.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed David Goffin | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked David Goffin | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674c…6dabbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 62c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 64c | 21.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…926ebacked Roberto Bautista Agut | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Roberto Bautista Agut | 78c | 14.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.