Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Kenya vs Bahrain: Kenya vs Bahrain
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98516e7287d517ffa921dfb31918d68b6d631ac3af105c32bd3f844198fe24af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kenyaof Kenya, Bahrain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kenya | 55c | 1,000$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bahrain | 50c | 891.38$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.43 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Kenya | 55c | 780.16$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.86 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Bahrain | 54c | 677.06$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.61 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Bahrain | 55c | 605$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Kenya | 45c | 545$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.2 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Kenya | 47c | 530.73$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.71 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Bahrain | 52c | 466.51$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.75 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Bahrain | 45c | 232.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kenya | 64c | 222.55$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.65 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Bahrain | 47c | 188.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.79 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Kenya | 70c | 163.43$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Bahrain | 53c | 132.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Bahrain | 57c | 101.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Kenya | 55c | 101$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Bahrain | 28c | 99.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab55…197cbacked Bahrain | 54c | 94.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bahrain | 31c | 76.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Bahrain | 51c | 75.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kenya | 51c | 66.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Bahrain | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb3…d689backed Bahrain | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Kenya | 52c | 54.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Bahrain | 33c | 53.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 103 | 16.5%17 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kenya | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…459ebacked Kenya | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d8…3c0cbacked Bahrain | 38c | 39.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Bahrain | 39c | 36.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Kenya | 50c | 34.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…c19bbacked Kenya | 48c | 32.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…6510backed Bahrain | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…cbfdbacked Kenya | 40c | 25.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bahrain | 50c | 22.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Kenya | 54c | 21.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Bahrain | 51c | 20.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…ea32backed Bahrain | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3758…5c70backed Kenya | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.