TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Asuncion: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Gianluca Cadenasso

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gianluca Cadenassoof Alvaro Guillen Meza, Gianluca Cadenasso
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,069 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Alvaro Guillen Meza13c14,855$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.942,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso78c7,042$5,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.0380938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza60c3,657$2,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19655646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3697…e574backed Alvaro Guillen Meza28c3,000$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.747252.8%38 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Gianluca Cadenasso43c2,844$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.931,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gianluca Cadenasso73c2,717$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.927,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza25c2,335$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57315826.6%42 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Alvaro Guillen Meza60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso69c897.16$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.066,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Alvaro Guillen Meza32c856$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.6737342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Gianluca Cadenasso75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20024844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza33c765$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.2597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza28c762.74$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21451933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Gianluca Cadenasso39c711.92$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.2735040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alvaro Guillen Meza40c644.91$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.034,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Alvaro Guillen Meza60c623.09$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.911,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Gianluca Cadenasso52c601.56$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.612,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Alvaro Guillen Meza61c549.98$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.4911158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza28c538.32$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3326535.5%94 W · 171 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza17c442.22$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.81,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed Gianluca Cadenasso71c388.98$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.147346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Alvaro Guillen Meza56c355.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alvaro Guillen Meza43c353.39$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.643,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Gianluca Cadenasso60c345.77$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.282,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Alvaro Guillen Meza19c333.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.851,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gianluca Cadenasso42c327.7$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.699,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Alvaro Guillen Meza25c326.26$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8367836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Alvaro Guillen Meza44c312.21$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.851,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Alvaro Guillen Meza58c299.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9929636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Alvaro Guillen Meza60c296.22$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.7196755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Alvaro Guillen Meza31c283$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.241,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Alvaro Guillen Meza58c249.94$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9772542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Gianluca Cadenasso40c219$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.47,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Gianluca Cadenasso42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1166344.4%28 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Gianluca Cadenasso39c194$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.347427%20 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Alvaro Guillen Meza39c190.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7413146.6%61 W · 70 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Gianluca Cadenasso39c181.01$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.762,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Gianluca Cadenasso42c171$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1899056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso40c170.32$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1919338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Alvaro Guillen Meza15c160.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Alvaro Guillen Meza63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Alvaro Guillen Meza44c149.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9188455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Gianluca Cadenasso73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9950364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Alvaro Guillen Meza47c123.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2530844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Gianluca Cadenasso42c117.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.837,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Gianluca Cadenasso39c115.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3812152.1%63 W · 58 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Gianluca Cadenasso76c107$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Gianluca Cadenasso40c104.83$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.934154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alvaro Guillen Meza30c92.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.053,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Alvaro Guillen Meza60c83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.853457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Gianluca Cadenasso53c81.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.486,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Gianluca Cadenasso40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.847453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Alvaro Guillen Meza50c76.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51717.6%3 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.30per pick48cpaid-67.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5c0a…644abacked Gianluca Cadenasso61c73.52$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4616175.2%121 W · 40 L+20.4wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5106…22e6backed Alvaro Guillen Meza59c66.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Alvaro Guillen Meza36c65.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3750731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe092…d209backed Gianluca Cadenasso39c63.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6519142.4%81 W · 110 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Gianluca Cadenasso42c62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9654434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Gianluca Cadenasso41c61.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.171,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Alvaro Guillen Meza65c61.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4073458.6%430 W · 304 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8589364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Gianluca Cadenasso42c56.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7723750.6%120 W · 117 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza61c55.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8938268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Alvaro Guillen Meza25c54.72$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6816339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.552854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Gianluca Cadenasso40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza60c47.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4642358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gianluca Cadenasso71c47.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.537,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Alvaro Guillen Meza55c45.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Gianluca Cadenasso42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.224547.8%117 W · 128 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Gianluca Cadenasso41c34.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.152,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7a8…2d58backed Alvaro Guillen Meza59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209154.9%50 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Gianluca Cadenasso39c32.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8453544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Alvaro Guillen Meza62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Alvaro Guillen Meza59c29.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5313648.5%66 W · 70 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba8…fa04backed Gianluca Cadenasso61c29.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.42871.4%20 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d06…e8f7backed Gianluca Cadenasso61c29.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.45278.8%41 W · 11 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Alvaro Guillen Meza42c27.62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4938460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Gianluca Cadenasso41c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7530452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x613f…6463backed Alvaro Guillen Meza55c24.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.725937.3%22 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Alvaro Guillen Meza61c23.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.258845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba6…2a7ebacked Alvaro Guillen Meza56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Gianluca Cadenasso76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834c…89a9backed Gianluca Cadenasso72c17.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.