La Liga · resolved market
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99163685498997fc7ad6201d1c01df659ca725465dba7b499f9d82b3223a9bb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 31c | 2,133$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.6 | 924 | 43%397 W · 527 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 2,030$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.21 | 3,571 | 42.6%1,522 W · 2,049 L | +26.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 1,405$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 4,856 | 47%2,282 W · 2,574 L | -17.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 1,256$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.68 | 1,293 | 51.5%666 W · 627 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 14c | 999.76$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 678 | 39.2%266 W · 412 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 29c | 972.81$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.87 | 1,466 | 45%659 W · 807 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 39c | 943$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.77 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 38c | 791.58$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 59c | 468.34$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.02 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…7337backed No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 39c | 265$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 44c | 135.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 59c | 112.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 110.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 2,394 | 48.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 15c | 103.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 21.2%24 W · 89 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 62c | 101.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 477 | 49.7%237 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0458…a875backed Yes | 38c | 78.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 77.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1,658 | 51.7%858 W · 800 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed No | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 62c | 40.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 621 | 54.4%338 W · 283 L | +28.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 50c | 36.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 38c | 33.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 62c | 25.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 62c | 17.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 307 | 59%181 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-08-24?this page
- Will Granada CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?No won
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-08-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.