La Liga · resolved market
Will Granada CF win on 2026-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae21c3f8db3ea0db25ed7615da65fbc4c362666a12a170ff5c1dd3da3350d777
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 3c | 12,760$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.69 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 70c | 10,000$7,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,038.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed No | 3c | 6,285$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 40c | 5,107$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.81 | 924 | 43%397 W · 527 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 59c | 4,849$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.96 | 4,856 | 47%2,282 W · 2,574 L | -17.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 66c | 2,205$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.66 | 678 | 39.2%266 W · 412 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 749 | 49.8%373 W · 376 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 4c | 1,875$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 62c | 1,737$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.68 | 510 | 48.6%248 W · 262 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed No | 5c | 1,630$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 19c | 1,395$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.78 | 1,187 | 32.4%385 W · 802 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 4c | 1,308$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 284 | 47.2%134 W · 150 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 6c | 1,177$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed No | 4c | 1,092$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 809 | 50.3%407 W · 402 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes | 48c | 976.02$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.8 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 948.24$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.25 | 1,293 | 51.5%666 W · 627 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 32c | 764.04$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.17 | 1,645 | 38.6%635 W · 1,010 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 29c | 646$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.66 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 552.02$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.28 | 1,466 | 45%659 W · 807 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…42c1backed Yes | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 5c | 262$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 891 | 39.8%355 W · 536 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed No | 71c | 198.27$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 20c | 179$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.98 | 635 | 58%368 W · 267 L | +44.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 30c | 172.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 743 | 50.2%373 W · 370 L | +18.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 381 | 44.9%171 W · 210 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 30c | 142.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 64c | 139.69$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 80c | 121$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 113 | 21.2%24 W · 89 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 106.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 2,394 | 48.4%1,159 W · 1,235 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked No | 37c | 102.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 61c | 102$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 186 | 61.3%114 W · 72 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 60c | 99.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 75c | 94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 65c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 61c | 74.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 307 | 59%181 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 43c | 68.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 36c | 65.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked No | 70c | 55.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 51.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 1,658 | 51.7%858 W · 800 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked No | 70c | 50.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 60c | 50.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 70c | 48.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 75c | 39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 58c | 36.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 61c | 34.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 69c | 34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Yes | 62c | 33.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 47c | 28.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…6790backed No | 71c | 27.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Yes | 61c | 20.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Granada CF win on 2026-08-24?this page
- Will Granada CF vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?No won
- Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-08-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.