CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99705cfea03aeb66815613f71f5267c37cf65b7beaa4b72bb0d805ac34db3ae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof STATE, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RUSTEC | 65c | 4,613$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked STATE | 40c | 2,800$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed RUSTEC | 59c | 2,700$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.99 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC | 67c | 1,784$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.24 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5e…58efbacked STATE | 41c | 1,296$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.49 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed RUSTEC | 59c | 1,142$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.31 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed STATE | 42c | 1,069$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.9 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed STATE | 45c | 1,020$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.41 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked RUSTEC | 63c | 957.91$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.44 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed STATE | 29c | 865.57$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.21 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked RUSTEC | 57c | 743$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.49 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked RUSTEC | 71c | 518.82$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.01 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed STATE | 41c | 486.3$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…fb43backed STATE | 41c | 472.49$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed STATE | 24c | 444.51$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed STATE | 41c | 408.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed STATE | 38c | 375.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.46 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked STATE | 33c | 357.27$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked RUSTEC | 76c | 352.84$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked STATE | 22c | 314.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed STATE | 39c | 310.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked STATE | 37c | 259.1$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed RUSTEC | 60c | 259.03$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed RUSTEC | 59c | 248.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed RUSTEC | 65c | 245.23$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked STATE | 41c | 241.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed STATE | 42c | 234.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed STATE | 41c | 227.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed STATE | 37c | 225.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed STATE | 25c | 225$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa86d…575fbacked STATE | 12c | 204.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked STATE | 50c | 199.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked RUSTEC | 68c | 192.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked RUSTEC | 75c | 188.07$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed RUSTEC | 79c | 184.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked RUSTEC | 59c | 178.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked RUSTEC | 65c | 149.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed STATE | 25c | 146.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed STATE | 27c | 141.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked STATE | 24c | 132.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked RUSTEC | 55c | 125.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked RUSTEC | 75c | 120.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked STATE | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed STATE | 40c | 117$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked RUSTEC | 60c | 113.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…b921backed STATE | 48c | 110.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed STATE | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed RUSTEC | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 168 | 29.2%49 W · 119 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed RUSTEC | 75c | 81.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked RUSTEC | 64c | 78.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…90b3backed RUSTEC | 74c | 77.16$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed RUSTEC | 59c | 75.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…f7a9backed RUSTEC | 79c | 74.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed RUSTEC | 60c | 71.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed RUSTEC | 59c | 67.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed STATE | 48c | 64.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed STATE | 41c | 60.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed RUSTEC | 53c | 54.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed RUSTEC | 59c | 53.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RUSTEC | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed RUSTEC | 76c | 50.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked STATE | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked RUSTEC | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…cf2dbacked STATE | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed RUSTEC | 75c | 47.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed RUSTEC | 58c | 47.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed RUSTEC | 66c | 45.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed RUSTEC | 65c | 45.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed STATE | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed STATE | 39c | 43.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked STATE | 41c | 42.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked RUSTEC | 60c | 40.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed STATE | 35c | 31.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked RUSTEC | 63c | 30.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed RUSTEC | 45c | 29.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked RUSTEC | 59c | 22.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed RUSTEC | 79c | 22.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked RUSTEC | 62c | 21.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed RUSTEC | 60c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed RUSTEC | 57c | 18.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerRUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerRUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.