Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x997233f29fb1c64fcfa7920613c0fb090ab71b77bbcf3bb03f82c7ccff463a89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Cloud9, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e3c…64b8backed Cloud9 | 50c | 9,580$4,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Sentinels | 52c | 7,801$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.06 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Sentinels | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Sentinels | 50c | 4,510$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.13 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Cloud9 | 47c | 2,864$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.04 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Sentinels | 52c | 2,666$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.45 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Cloud9 | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Cloud9 | 48c | 1,085$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.62 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Cloud9 | 48c | 1,048$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.92 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Cloud9 | 50c | 1,025$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.82 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Sentinels | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cloud9 | 50c | 939.54$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.77 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Cloud9 | 48c | 871.92$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.52 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Cloud9 | 48c | 822.99$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.81 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Cloud9 | 47c | 743.96$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.26 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cloud9 | 48c | 627.97$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.49 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Cloud9 | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Sentinels | 49c | 476.35$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.94 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Cloud9 | 48c | 452.98$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.29 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Cloud9 | 48c | 405.4$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.59 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Cloud9 | 48c | 177.61$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Sentinels | 54c | 172.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Cloud9 | 48c | 164.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Cloud9 | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Sentinels | 49c | 122.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Sentinels | 50c | 119.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Sentinels | 50c | 119.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 183 | 59.6%109 W · 74 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Sentinels | 49c | 119.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Sentinels | 67c | 103.13$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Sentinels | 62c | 102.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 166 | 68.7%114 W · 52 L | +22.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Cloud9 | 46c | 74.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Cloud9 | 48c | 71.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Sentinels | 50c | 69.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Sentinels | 51c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Cloud9 | 45c | 68.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Sentinels | 53c | 68.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Cloud9 | 50c | 62.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Sentinels | 50c | 61.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Cloud9 | 48c | 54.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Cloud9 | 49c | 53.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Cloud9 | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Sentinels | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Cloud9 | 48c | 36.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 581 | 55.6%323 W · 258 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Sentinels | 52c | 35.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Sentinels | 50c | 32.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Sentinels | 49c | 27.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Sentinels | 53c | 25.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Cloud9 | 50c | 24.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Sentinels | 69c | 19.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)this page
- Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsSentinels won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.