Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Francisca Jorge
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9980eed1084bd68d645941c66fa1cc1ff6bfac750b587f9eea07de035e992abc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebecca Sramkovaof Rebecca Sramkova, Francisca Jorge
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francisca Jorge | 9c | 6,143$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.93 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Rebecca Sramkova | 79c | 5,427$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.56 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…78ebbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 75c | 3,995$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.18 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…f4febacked Francisca Jorge | 27c | 3,654$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…f4d6backed Francisca Jorge | 25c | 1,175$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.72 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…be5dbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Francisca Jorge | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…16efbacked Francisca Jorge | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Francisca Jorge | 23c | 999.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Francisca Jorge | 19c | 650.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Francisca Jorge | 12c | 549.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Francisca Jorge | 7c | 414.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf860…d0c5backed Francisca Jorge | 24c | 331.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Francisca Jorge | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Rebecca Sramkova | 75c | 264.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 392 | 60.5%237 W · 155 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abc7backed Francisca Jorge | 15c | 260.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Francisca Jorge | 13c | 258.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Francisca Jorge | 18c | 215.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Francisca Jorge | 19c | 208.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Francisca Jorge | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed Francisca Jorge | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Francisca Jorge | 20c | 149.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Rebecca Sramkova | 74c | 147.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Rebecca Sramkova | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Francisca Jorge | 18c | 127$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Rebecca Sramkova | 80c | 125.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Francisca Jorge | 18c | 119.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Francisca Jorge | 20c | 115.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Francisca Jorge | 19c | 114$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 949 | 40.1%381 W · 568 L | +30.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Rebecca Sramkova | 73c | 111.11$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ae…1e53backed Francisca Jorge | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Rebecca Sramkova | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Francisca Jorge | 24c | 82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 1,235 | 44.9%554 W · 681 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a1…2dbebacked Francisca Jorge | 13c | 81.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 74c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Francisca Jorge | 15c | 78.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…41dfbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 79c | 62.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Francisca Jorge | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Francisca Jorge | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Francisca Jorge | 21c | 47.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Rebecca Sramkova | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Rebecca Sramkova | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Rebecca Sramkova | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,090 | 52.6%573 W · 517 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…a062backed Rebecca Sramkova | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 74cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…a465backed Rebecca Sramkova | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.