Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs Prizmic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99a8d7958e6d5381f92f955ca983a3201fb5cdfee69cd084814669e075437ef3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prizmicof Norrie, Prizmic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Norrie | 57c | 4,713$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.72 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Prizmic | 43c | 4,600$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.99 | 1,013 | 50.1%508 W · 505 L | +36.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Prizmic | 53c | 1,191$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.02 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…7a4ebacked Norrie | 56c | 851$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Norrie | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Norrie | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Prizmic | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Prizmic | 40c | 194$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 288 | 48.3%139 W · 149 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Norrie | 19c | 141.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Norrie | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 277 | 54.5%151 W · 126 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Prizmic | 43c | 120$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Norrie | 56c | 83.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed Norrie | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Prizmic | 44c | 79.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Prizmic | 44c | 79.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 481 | 51.6%248 W · 233 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Norrie | 55c | 70.25$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 423 | 53%224 W · 199 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Prizmic | 44c | 61.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 509 | 48.1%245 W · 264 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Norrie | 46c | 61.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Prizmic | 80c | 51.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Prizmic | 44c | 44.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Norrie | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…969abacked Norrie | 57c | 34.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Prizmic | 58c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Norrie | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 471 | 53.1%250 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…c6f3backed Norrie | 55c | 28.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Prizmic | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Norrie | 57c | 19.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,016 | 57.7%586 W · 430 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Norrie vs Prizmicthis page
- Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino PrizmicCameron Norrie won
- Set Handicap: Norrie (-1.5) vs Prizmic (+1.5)Prizmic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.