Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99b2db109095cd285aa3d10e5fb1b75d3c03917518d3a4a6961885d1ac91bcfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stonehill Skyhawksof Stonehill Skyhawks, Le Moyne Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 36c | 1,065$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 38c | 637.41$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.19 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 48c | 617.39$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.54 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 29c | 544.29$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 62c | 471.61$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.41 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 460$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 56c | 412.93$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.24 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 38c | 409.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 62c | 322.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 59c | 320$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 65c | 303$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 23c | 266.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 63c | 208.74$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 46c | 183.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 60c | 182.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d9…4da7backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 35c | 113.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 48c | 78.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 38c | 76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 34c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 35c | 74.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 65c | 69.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 71c | 66.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 40c | 65.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 42c | 55.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 34c | 49.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 60c | 47.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 44c | 30.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf942…b11cbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 62c | 26.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5422backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphinsthis page
- Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-4.5)Stonehill Skyhawks won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 135.5Under won
- Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Le Moyne Dolphins: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.