Earnings · resolved market
Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a10f6422c7905c8970059e93ec0fb910270dc15e897c251d5de382efa99c5d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc275…b3ccbacked Yes | 73c | 878.52$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…53f3backed No | 25c | 740.09$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +292.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed No | 28c | 724.42$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.56 | 65 | 100%65 W · 0 L | +26.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 82+0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 24c | 347.8$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.79 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 74c | 310.27$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.65 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…5996backed No | 27c | 262.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 75c | 212.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.54 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Yes | 69c | 181$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 170 | 64.1%109 W · 61 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 23c | 142.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.73 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 76c | 135$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 35c | 100.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf3…369dbacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…0cd4backed No | 27c | 93.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecd1…4c52backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 75c | 62.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…1a49backed Yes | 76c | 51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…a674backed No | 27c | 50.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…5db6backed Yes | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae2…34d9backed Yes | 74c | 49.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked Yes | 74c | 46.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…6f9dbacked Yes | 76c | 30.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 263 | 50.2%132 W · 131 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8e…2175backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 74c | 18.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 79c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…88a1backed Yes | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…0cacbacked Yes | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…7b04backed Yes | 76c | 13.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.