Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Andrew Johnson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a48dbcf21d6b10cf2ea2dc2870fc88f94db5448b3cefecc1325260ac2ef5ba9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liam Draxlof Liam Draxl, Andrew Johnson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Andrew Johnson | 28c | 17,857$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Andrew Johnson | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…608ebacked Liam Draxl | 72c | 6,944$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.44 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Liam Draxl | 73c | 5,667$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.49 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Liam Draxl | 73c | 5,133$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.39 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andrew Johnson | 16c | 4,139$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.56 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8e…7ec6backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 3,611$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 1,787$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.45 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 1,550$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.67 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Andrew Johnson | 33c | 1,164$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.15 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 1,140$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.06 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Andrew Johnson | 8c | 1,123$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 426 | 43.9%187 W · 239 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 910 | 50.2%457 W · 453 L | -20.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Andrew Johnson | 22c | 811.41$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.29 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Andrew Johnson | 28c | 600$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Liam Draxl | 73c | 585.17$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83d…535cbacked Andrew Johnson | 19c | 515.79$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Liam Draxl | 75c | 420.77$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Andrew Johnson | 6c | 415.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Andrew Johnson | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 363 | 48.2%175 W · 188 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Andrew Johnson | 28c | 390.57$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 333$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andrew Johnson | 18c | 257.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Andrew Johnson | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 310 | 35.2%109 W · 201 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Liam Draxl | 71c | 226.44$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…54a4backed Liam Draxl | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Andrew Johnson | 14c | 182.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Andrew Johnson | 25c | 162.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Andrew Johnson | 10c | 139.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca1…58acbacked Andrew Johnson | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Andrew Johnson | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Liam Draxl | 76c | 83.2$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 76.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 156 | 69.9%109 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Andrew Johnson | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 157 | 44.6%70 W · 87 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Andrew Johnson | 26c | 45.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 515 | 45.8%236 W · 279 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b35…bdd3backed Andrew Johnson | 29c | 40.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Liam Draxl | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 416 | 64.4%268 W · 148 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Liam Draxl | 73c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 370 | 60%222 W · 148 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Liam Draxl | 73c | 23.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 790 | 62.2%491 W · 299 L | +25.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…a9d0backed Liam Draxl | 75c | 22.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Liam Draxl | 71c | 22.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 208 | 66.3%138 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 19.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 224 | 57.6%129 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Liam Draxl | 72c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 304 | 65.5%199 W · 105 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Liam Draxl | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4b…f06fbacked Liam Draxl | 70c | 14.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Andrew Johnsonthis page
- Set Handicap: Draxl (-1.5) vs Johnson (+1.5)Draxl won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.