Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Katie Boulter
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b762ce8b038c04f2c591d800659c9059766a07ab5455109978d237114df1518
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karolina Muchovaof Karolina Muchova, Katie Boulter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,170 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Karolina Muchova | 77c | 4,557$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.2 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Katie Boulter | 19c | 4,021$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.94 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Katie Boulter | 12c | 3,178$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.28 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Katie Boulter | 3c | 2,135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Karolina Muchova | 79c | 2,032$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.25 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Karolina Muchova | 76c | 1,974$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.68 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Katie Boulter | 22c | 1,944$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.56 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Katie Boulter | 1c | 1,733$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Katie Boulter | 22c | 1,502$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.38 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Katie Boulter | 24c | 1,287$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.85 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Katie Boulter | 23c | 1,104$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Katie Boulter | 23c | 1,091$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.56 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Karolina Muchova | 78c | 1,090$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.43 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Karolina Muchova | 76c | 1,010$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.29 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Katie Boulter | 23c | 999.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Katie Boulter | 18c | 909.93$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Karolina Muchova | 78c | 900$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Katie Boulter | 14c | 861.94$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Katie Boulter | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Katie Boulter | 23c | 664.65$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Katie Boulter | 21c | 625.34$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Katie Boulter | 9c | 579.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Katie Boulter | 24c | 547$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.28 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Katie Boulter | 15c | 533.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Karolina Muchova | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Katie Boulter | 21c | 502.28$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…280ebacked Katie Boulter | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Karolina Muchova | 76c | 487.08$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Karolina Muchova | 78c | 479.52$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Karolina Muchova | 77c | 440$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Katie Boulter | 13c | 405$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 708 | 29.1%206 W · 502 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Katie Boulter | 22c | 321.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.88 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Karolina Muchova | 77c | 292.21$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Katie Boulter | 14c | 280.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Karolina Muchova | 78c | 256$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Katie Boulter | 22c | 250.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Katie Boulter | 23c | 250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Katie Boulter | 13c | 247$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Katie Boulter | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Katie Boulter | 19c | 214.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Katie Boulter | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Karolina Muchova | 77c | 196.07$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Katie Boulter | 11c | 182.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Karolina Muchova | 79c | 161.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Karolina Muchova | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Katie Boulter | 13c | 132.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ff…9401backed Karolina Muchova | 76c | 130.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Katie Boulter | 24c | 111$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Katie Boulter | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Karolina Muchova | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Katie Boulter | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 202 | 61.4%124 W · 78 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Katie Boulter | 18c | 98.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…3b00backed Karolina Muchova | 78c | 96.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Karolina Muchova | 76c | 88.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Katie Boulter | 24c | 75.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Katie Boulter | 17c | 68.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Karolina Muchova | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Katie Boulter | 23c | 59.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Katie Boulter | 25c | 57.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Karolina Muchova | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Karolina Muchova | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Karolina Muchova | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…507abacked Karolina Muchova | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Karolina Muchova | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…67e2backed Karolina Muchova | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…5f86backed Karolina Muchova | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.