South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Lanús vs. CA Independiente: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c426d687891fdb6bc6268f0680be27614380120e1161fe7491e3e1a8e544344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 50c | 19,976$9,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,017.05 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 14,056$7,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,760.95 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 52c | 9,944$5,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,139.24 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 55c | 5,663$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.71 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 2,848$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.88 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 18c | 2,750$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.8 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 17c | 2,554$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.62 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Under | 45c | 2,190$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 31c | 2,012$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ad…b017backed Over | 41c | 1,897$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 63c | 1,550$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 69c | 1,244$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.9 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +288.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 26c | 900$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 14c | 851.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.04 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 20c | 803.77$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.43 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed Over | 47c | 791.49$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 76c | 745$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.2 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd8…199ebacked Over | 24c | 745$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b43…0f61backed Under | 54c | 554.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 77c | 365.23$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 60c | 333.29$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.31 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 74c | 323.08$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.08 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 61c | 321.9$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.36 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 16c | 268.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.79 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 75c | 256.79$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Under | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 22c | 236.37$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…5069backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 199.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 38c | 191.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.46 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 27c | 182.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 173.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…e303backed Over | 26c | 169.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 29c | 168.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 63c | 140.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 15c | 133.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.23 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 62c | 132.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 19c | 131.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 247 | 66%163 W · 84 L | +27.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 126.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 59c | 117.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 61c | 117.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 63c | 114.03$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…7762backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 15c | 95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee0…4078backed Under | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 40c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 61c | 64.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 18c | 62.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 62c | 56.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 46c | 54.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 56c | 53.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 27c | 52.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2959…b716backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b7…665abacked Over | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 53c | 43.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 66c | 39.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 59c | 32.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 56c | 26.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 51c | 19.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Lanús vs. CA Independiente: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Lanús vs. CA Independiente: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Independiente: CA Independiente 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Independiente: CA Independiente O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Independiente: CA Lanús O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Independiente: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Independiente: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Independiente: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. CA Independiente: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA Independiente (-1.5)CA Independiente won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)CA Independiente won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)CA Independiente won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.