WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. New York Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c50d5318110cf1a864d8196ccc3357f47edd6c5da29fb3dd90380a4d26dcc55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof Connecticut Sun, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 1,320$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…e9dcbacked Connecticut Sun | 17c | 1,167$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Connecticut Sun | 15c | 999.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Connecticut Sun | 19c | 658.54$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Connecticut Sun | 12c | 496.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Connecticut Sun | 24c | 418.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…c775backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 388.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun | 7c | 376.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 352$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 332.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 290$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 249.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…ceabbacked Connecticut Sun | 17c | 206.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Connecticut Sun | 18c | 168.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…ccfbbacked Connecticut Sun | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 120.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…f4ffbacked Connecticut Sun | 12c | 114$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Connecticut Sun | 13c | 103.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Connecticut Sun | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Connecticut Sun | 12c | 96.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Connecticut Sun | 17c | 93.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Connecticut Sun | 14c | 88.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 87.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Connecticut Sun | 13c | 85.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 85.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Connecticut Sun | 16c | 72.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…a2ccbacked Connecticut Sun | 17c | 71.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 46cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed New York Liberty | 64c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed New York Liberty | 64c | 45.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.