Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c74fc06c30db72c9bbed224e44ea4cd1c560be0a75e17e24872290a8495c203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 22c | 411.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 56c | 394.42$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.56 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 32c | 361.85$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 297.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…a50cbacked Yes | 42c | 281.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 214 | 36%77 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 240.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 32c | 196.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 61c | 194.47$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 26c | 183.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 47c | 178.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 25c | 154.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 27c | 151.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 24c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 79c | 136.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…e61bbacked Yes | 50c | 128.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 23c | 127.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 24c | 111.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 68c | 107.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 52c | 103.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes | 62c | 88.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 31c | 87.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 24c | 85.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 35c | 77.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 35c | 74.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 72.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…3419backed Yes | 24c | 72.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 212 | 35.8%76 W · 136 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 44c | 66.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…72cfbacked Yes | 22c | 63.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9765…242ebacked Yes | 56c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…57f6backed Yes | 35c | 62.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11d…44ecbacked No | 40c | 61.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…3961backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 77c | 57.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 67c | 57.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 24c | 57.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81c…d3cbbacked Yes | 35c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…0c43backed Yes | 23c | 53.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 71c | 50.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 49.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…59aebacked Yes | 33c | 49.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…89bcbacked Yes | 59c | 48.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…9c23backed Yes | 35c | 47.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 178 | 38.8%69 W · 109 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 67c | 47.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 58c | 46.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ca…c3e7backed Yes | 26c | 43.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…573fbacked No | 69c | 42.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 74c | 42.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 60c | 42.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…9884backed Yes | 50c | 42.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +193.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 73c | 41.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 32c | 41.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 48c | 37.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 67c | 37.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed Yes | 28c | 37.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed Yes | 29c | 37.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 80c | 36.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 46c | 34.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…2389backed Yes | 55c | 34.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 61c | 32.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…917abacked No | 65c | 31.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 75c | 31.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 65c | 30.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…0053backed Yes | 63c | 28.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 68c | 28.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 36c | 28.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…aa45backed No | 74c | 27.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…b076backed Yes | 40c | 25.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 208 | 35.6%74 W · 134 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe536…41b6backed No | 65c | 25.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbf…1b94backed No | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…615abacked No | 57c | 24.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 74c | 22.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b7…847cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 65c | 19.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…2f3cbacked No | 65c | 19.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…91f8backed No | 80c | 19.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 77 | 77.9%60 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…0736backed No | 77c | 18.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 72c | 18.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 76c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…2cbdbacked No | 70c | 17.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…b1c7backed No | 79c | 17.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 148 | 26.4%39 W · 109 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 73c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f2…c2a5backed No | 74c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8063backed No | 76c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 75c | 14.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 76c | 13.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.