TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,415 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Under46c1,205$554 inWon+$650.441163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x419f…72b3backed Over54c740.74$400 inLost-$4002832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over54c501$271 inLost-$270.5461752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under46c393$181 inWon+$212.227251.4%37 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over54c263.48$142 inLost-$142.287761%47 W · 30 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over54c237.12$128 inLost-$127.862,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over54c231$125 inLost-$124.742,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over54c231$125 inLost-$124.743,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Over54c217.62$118 inLost-$117.5212947.3%61 W · 68 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd722…0564backed Under46c217.62$100 inWon+$117.6219436.6%71 W · 123 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Under59c168.33$100 inWon+$68.3323554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Under60c140.16$84 inWon+$56.165545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Over40c131.83$53 inLost-$52.7340163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over41c96.34$39 inLost-$39.523741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa253…1f1fbacked Over51c76.66$39 inLost-$39450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under48c40$19 inWon+$20.82,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c39.47$18 inWon+$21.313,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.