Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x278a500ef357a6dc439175fe585d438d303550976994add7c7241d20315ea153
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fc3…b676backed Over | 41c | 3,821$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.13 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 58c | 1,374$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.36 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 63c | 1,170$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.18 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 60c | 1,011$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.47 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 66c | 998.55$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.91 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 65c | 581.54$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.54 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…fa8fbacked Over | 32c | 467.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 34c | 453.91$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Over | 30c | 425.26$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.42 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 61c | 306.73$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 34c | 275.63$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.21 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 27c | 271.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 36c | 248.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…72b3backed Over | 37c | 244.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 43c | 214.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 61c | 207.77$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 16c | 207$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 26c | 162$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Over | 38c | 156.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 67c | 156.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 65c | 124.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Under | 69c | 115.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 66c | 102.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 256 | 39.1%100 W · 156 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 58c | 88.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 31c | 60.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 29c | 57.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9b…638cbacked Over | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 62c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 33c | 49.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 559 | 42.4%237 W · 322 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Under | 68c | 41.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 75c | 41.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…9c45backed Under | 68c | 37.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 62c | 30.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 65c | 22.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 67c | 19.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Iraq: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.