Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 6.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff546b654073685e54cd7a35020631f7514d035d729679066f6a2a37e6f37284
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8d…1af3backed Over | 68c | 1,083$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 35c | 985.53$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.29 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 32c | 691.54$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.25 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 34c | 552.35$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.55 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Under | 38c | 248$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 65c | 212.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.12 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…b0b3backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…8f69backed Over | 68c | 147.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…9c4ebacked Over | 67c | 113.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 100 | 19%19 W · 81 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 108.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 67c | 94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 467 | 43.3%202 W · 265 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 62c | 93.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 34c | 86.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 61c | 85.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…78cabacked Over | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…9db2backed Under | 38c | 76.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…1f45backed Over | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…8dc6backed Under | 38c | 73.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Under | 34c | 60.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Under | 75c | 59.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 63c | 47.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Under | 34c | 44.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…95f3backed Over | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 66c | 21.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 65c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 6.5 Cornersthis page
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Iraq: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.