Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72554e1bb1038e0f212a36f64d41c70ec665b7d28a30ac98ca6fb7df3c47b232
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed Over | 50c | 2,898$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over | 51c | 2,721$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.6 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 50c | 2,626$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.61 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 49c | 2,063$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.06 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 54c | 994.1$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.28 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 936.38$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.19 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 46c | 794.93$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.26 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 47c | 721.21$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.24 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Under | 49c | 599.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3ae9backed Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 512.37$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.81 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Under | 49c | 501$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d5…53bfbacked Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 46c | 426.68$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.27 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc108…af8ebacked Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 50c | 207$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…0fc7backed Over | 54c | 176.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 53c | 158$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 47c | 117.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 52c | 99.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 50c | 99.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Under | 50c | 97.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 47c | 97.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x267e…584bbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 185 | 38.9%72 W · 113 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 47c | 83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 47c | 78.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…7424backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 300 | 60%180 W · 120 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed Under | 45c | 64.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 51c | 62.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…baf7backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Over | 53c | 50.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…1fccbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…1d7cbacked Over | 54c | 46.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522e…a453backed Over | 53c | 45.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…6a54backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…5ec5backed Over | 55c | 36.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…2b50backed Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 53c | 28.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…2a4dbacked Under | 48c | 22.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Iraq: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.