Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 7.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc688fd1841cdbb58a670540c389fe99645fc027be9b968afffc593202a9a2ceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 50c | 5,762$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.7 | 142 | 32.4%46 W · 96 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 50c | 4,000$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.6 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Under | 49c | 1,442$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.57 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 982.04$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.66 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 48c | 964.87$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.73 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 49c | 598$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.02 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 595.19$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.5 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Over | 53c | 564.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…efc3backed Over | 53c | 553.88$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.68 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 51c | 541.55$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.05 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 51c | 424.21$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.19 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 63c | 318.08$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.96 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 249.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 68c | 244.09$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.11 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 21c | 203.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 11c | 163.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 33c | 157.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Over | 48c | 146.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 43c | 134.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.28 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 13c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 24c | 115.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 107.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 47c | 98.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e8…5cd6backed Over | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 32c | 59.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb795…1a30backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Under | 49c | 54.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…7443backed Over | 31c | 51.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…496abacked Under | 53c | 46.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 52c | 43.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…e684backed Over | 38c | 39.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb2…951bbacked Over | 32c | 35.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 7.5 Cornersthis page
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Iraq: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.