Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc025a1a12d090cdff652ee104ef71352c086db516a050d5bb30bc2d5d99376af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fc3…b676backed Over | 40c | 2,507$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 62c | 914.49$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.92 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 43c | 703.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Under | 54c | 500$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over | 50c | 359$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 49c | 353.18$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.81 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 64c | 207.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 64c | 206$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 61c | 204$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…0fc7backed Over | 54c | 169.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…98fabacked Over | 41c | 120.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 45c | 108.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 93.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 38c | 77.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 46c | 74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…a2f2backed Under | 69c | 72.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 143 | 74.8%107 W · 36 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 61c | 72.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6da…2a10backed Under | 70c | 43.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b3…1499backed Over | 32c | 38.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 48c | 32.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…2e0ebacked Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: France O/U 8.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Iraq: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Iraq: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.