Tennis · resolved market
ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Kursumlijska Banja (Serbia), clay: Selena Janicijevic vs Dunja Maric
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d176b22c5625d40e06eb11297a127d140997a70d6456448dcc9177ea3205e0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Selena Janicijevicof Selena Janicijevic, Dunja Maric
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Selena Janicijevic | 33c | 11,884$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,903.36 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Dunja Maric | 66c | 5,603$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.09 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dunja Maric | 66c | 4,585$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.19 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Dunja Maric | 68c | 1,331$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,750 | 50.2%878 W · 872 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Dunja Maric | 64c | 1,015$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.78 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…bbb8backed Selena Janicijevic | 34c | 753.91$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.58 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…1531backed Selena Janicijevic | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Dunja Maric | 64c | 532$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.15 | 652 | 65.8%429 W · 223 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Selena Janicijevic | 34c | 520$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 1,006 | 40%402 W · 604 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Dunja Maric | 67c | 469.88$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.12 | 501 | 56.9%285 W · 216 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Dunja Maric | 41c | 419.95$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.57 | 1,606 | 24.4%392 W · 1,214 L | -41.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Selena Janicijevic | 60c | 331.66$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Selena Janicijevic | 29c | 313.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.47 | 1,112 | 57.9%644 W · 468 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Selena Janicijevic | 15c | 309.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Selena Janicijevic | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dunja Maric | 66c | 298.09$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Selena Janicijevic | 77c | 217.51$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dunja Maric | 71c | 214.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 4,708 | 48.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L | +36.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…c62bbacked Dunja Maric | 67c | 211.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Selena Janicijevic | 35c | 165.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Dunja Maric | 54c | 162.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 3,238 | 57.3%1,854 W · 1,384 L | +179.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…cd12backed Dunja Maric | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Selena Janicijevic | 20c | 126.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 3,303 | 40.2%1,329 W · 1,974 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Dunja Maric | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x513b…ade9backed Selena Janicijevic | 66c | 116.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Dunja Maric | 48c | 115.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Selena Janicijevic | 40c | 108.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 647 | 26.4%171 W · 476 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Selena Janicijevic | 49c | 100.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…3be8backed Dunja Maric | 12c | 97.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Selena Janicijevic | 40c | 86.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 387 | 31.3%121 W · 266 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Selena Janicijevic | 31c | 86.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 145 | 26.9%39 W · 106 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Dunja Maric | 75c | 83.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 995 | 51.6%513 W · 482 L | +28.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Dunja Maric | 47c | 82.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 654 | 47.7%312 W · 342 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Dunja Maric | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 440 | 52.3%230 W · 210 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Dunja Maric | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Dunja Maric | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 909 | 54.6%496 W · 413 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Dunja Maric | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 973 | 56%545 W · 428 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Dunja Maric | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 57.7%194 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…c1a9backed Dunja Maric | 67c | 74.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Dunja Maric | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,039 | 49.9%518 W · 521 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…a441backed Selena Janicijevic | 22c | 59.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dunja Maric | 72c | 58.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Selena Janicijevic | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 924 | 41.2%381 W · 543 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Dunja Maric | 71c | 49.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 515 | 48.5%250 W · 265 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18cc…1a8ebacked Selena Janicijevic | 32c | 49.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Selena Janicijevic | 54c | 46.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 2,545 | 51.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Dunja Maric | 41c | 46.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,115 | 60.3%672 W · 443 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Dunja Maric | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,001 | 55.3%554 W · 447 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Dunja Maric | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 564 | 56.9%321 W · 243 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Dunja Maric | 76c | 44.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 927 | 63.9%592 W · 335 L | +66.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dunja Maric | 70c | 42.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Dunja Maric | 66c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2,164 | 56.1%1,214 W · 950 L | +42.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dunja Maric | 50c | 33.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 5,600 | 48.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L | +10.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…3326backed Selena Janicijevic | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Dunja Maric | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Dunja Maric | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4,523 | 51.7%2,340 W · 2,183 L | +135.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Selena Janicijevic | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…8ffabacked Dunja Maric | 74c | 22.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…1773backed Dunja Maric | 70c | 22.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.