Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Kent vs Essex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d9bff48599516c9c4eef319e88804277cdd55113beee57f3c62c1cf73545372
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Essexof Kent, Essex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kent | 38c | 1,026$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.8 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kent | 20c | 984.73$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Kent | 65c | 923.07$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Kent | 63c | 919.3$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.29 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Essex | 35c | 688.13$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.29 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9467…98fbbacked Essex | 36c | 554.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Kent | 27c | 533.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Kent | 11c | 523.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kent | 36c | 457.98$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.71 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Essex | 37c | 267.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.81 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Essex | 65c | 240$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Essex | 36c | 205.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Kent | 64c | 202.9$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Essex | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Kent | 68c | 189.25$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Essex | 43c | 175.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…9459backed Essex | 58c | 170.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Kent | 66c | 152.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Essex | 43c | 150.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kent | 39c | 135.22$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Kent | 32c | 131.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3283…23a3backed Kent | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…1d79backed Essex | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Essex | 44c | 90.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Essex | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kent | 20c | 84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Essex | 74c | 82.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…dfbdbacked Essex | 66c | 75.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…cf1abacked Kent | 65c | 70.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Kent | 34c | 68.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Essex | 66c | 56.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Kent | 52c | 50.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Essex | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Essex | 65c | 45.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Essex | 61c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Kent | 67c | 42.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kent | 38c | 41.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Essex | 35c | 41.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Kent | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…f0eabacked Kent | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Kent | 50c | 28.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kent | 65c | 28.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…5f53backed Essex | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kent | 59c | 24.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Essex | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Essex | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Essex | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…846bbacked Essex | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…c61cbacked Essex | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 192 | 65.6%126 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.