Other European Leagues · resolved market
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e31e29e537663d3c8d6715bc4f46d0c8bbd44447b2fee1f1ca146c06ff4e33c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 71c | 48,416$34,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,246.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 30c | 30,736$9,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,120.76 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Under | 69c | 13,000$8,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 30c | 4,212$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.28 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 27c | 2,904$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.45 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 29c | 1,946$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.31 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 31c | 1,661$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.77 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 31c | 1,512$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.72 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 1,512$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.72 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 31c | 1,512$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.72 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 28c | 541.51$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 31c | 427$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.37 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 387.58$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 77c | 290$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 75c | 244.18$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 31c | 126.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 28c | 107.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 31c | 104$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 79c | 96.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 73c | 91.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 24c | 78.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…637cbacked Over | 30c | 69.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 30c | 66.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Under | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 70c | 64.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…ab40backed Under | 69c | 48.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 31c | 39.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Over | 31c | 34.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 73c | 19.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.