Other European Leagues · resolved market
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc021a50b14ef68583bdf4539f7248f9ec00fde9506aa21a8726b83e978e73859
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 2,324$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.03 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 45c | 965.94$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.07 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 55c | 808.09$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.48 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 421.48$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 53c | 375$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.75 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 342$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 283.89$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.62 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 47c | 244.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 187.73$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 180.29$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 168$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 48c | 129.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 14c | 73.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 23c | 65.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 50c | 62.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 40c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 33c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 59c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 49c | 38.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 37c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…6d91backed Under | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 58c | 33.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 32.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Under | 48c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 63c | 27.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 45c | 27.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 39c | 26.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 45c | 25.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…76a5backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 63c | 22.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.