Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Nicolas Zanellato vs Juan Manuel La Serna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e61615ee7b2848a966f6eff8bf7f77e3294ca5413f1b16ceabf34ca0c6482c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sernaof Zanellato, Serna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zanellato | 31c | 965.17$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.63 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Serna | 54c | 816.4$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.53 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zanellato | 58c | 804.91$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.61 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Serna | 58c | 800$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.4 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zanellato | 60c | 690$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.09 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Serna | 26c | 566.61$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.29 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Zanellato | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zanellato | 68c | 254$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.63 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Zanellato | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Zanellato | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Zanellato | 22c | 206.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…6b67backed Zanellato | 26c | 182.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Zanellato | 50c | 173.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Serna | 63c | 167.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Serna | 74c | 162.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Serna | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Serna | 51c | 116.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Serna | 80c | 100.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Zanellato | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…c586backed Serna | 59c | 84.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Zanellato | 43c | 81.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Zanellato | 44c | 61.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Serna | 77c | 60.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Zanellato | 22c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Serna | 78c | 57.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Zanellato | 44c | 50.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Zanellato | 41c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Zanellato | 74c | 42.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Zanellato | 72c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Zanellato | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3849…00d8backed Serna | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Serna | 80c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Serna | 48c | 21.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Serna | 53c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…3189backed Serna | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Serna | 77c | 17.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigre: Nicolas Zanellato vs Juan Manuel La Sernathis page
- Zanellato vs. Serna: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.